Nearly three-quarters of the 100 largest U.S. metros -- including some of the priciest like San Jose, Calif., and San Francisco -- are more affordable than this time last year, despite a continued upward swing in median home prices, according to two new research reports released Thursday by realtor.com®.
The trends are based on realtor.com® 's May 2019 monthly housing trend report and REALTORS and realtor.com Affordability Distribution Curve and Score Report, which showed increasing inventory, rising wages, and declining mortgage rates have offset slowing price increases in some local areas, making a larger share of homes affordable to buyers -- especially in the mid-to upper-tier price range.
Realtor.com® May data shows the U.S. median listing price continued its upward hike, increasing 6% year-over-year to $315,000 -- a new record high. However, the 6% year-over-year increase in the median listing price was the slowest pace of growth since April 2015. National inventory grew by 3%, and homes typically spent 53 days on the market-- one day less than last May.
The most dramatic change in the U.S. housing market landscape is affordability, which realtor.com® defines as the share of for-sale homes a buyer is able to afford in their market at their income. Driven by inventory growth and lower mortgage rates, 74 out of the nation's 100 largest metros became more affordable in April 2019 compared to the previous year. This trend is a rapid acceleration from last month when only 44 metros were more affordable than the previous year.
"Lower mortgage rates, higher wages and more homes for sale have helped counteract rising home prices, and ultimately, made it so that buyers are able to afford more than last year," said Danielle Hale, realtor.com's chief economist. "However, the boost in affordability has yet to translate into more home sales perhaps because--while the shift in trend is welcome, the current monthly savings are small and some buyers may be waiting for markets to tip further in their favor."
Compared to national trends, the 10 markets with the greatest increases in affordability were San Jose, Calif.; Des Moines, Iowa; San Francisco; Lakeland, Fla.; Atlanta; Portland, Ore.; Cape Coral, Fla.; Austin, Texas; and Dallas. These markets are distinguished by rising incomes, decreasing listing prices, and a significant increase in available homes for sale. On average, incomes grew an estimated 6% year-over-year, compared to the 3.5% increase the top 100 largest metros saw. At the same time, median home listing prices fell an average of 2%, and inventory increased an average of 26%. This compared to 4.4% price and 6.5% inventory growth in the top 100 metros.
Hale added, "Despite the encouraging trends, entry-level buyers will likely continue to struggle to find homes in their price range as the majority of the inventory gains continue to be in mid-to upper-tier homes in more expensive markets."
In April, the number of homes priced above $750,000 -- more than double the national median -- increased 11% year-over-year, while the number homes priced below $200,000 decreased by 8% year-over-year. Similarly, increases in affordability are predominantly focused in pricier markets, especially along the West Coast. For example, San Jose, one of the nation's most expensive metros, saw the greatest boost in affordability, but it was principally driven by improvements for 80th and 90th percentile income earners. Meaning, San Jose became more affordable compared to this time last year, but the majority of affordability increases were only felt by the area's top income earners.
Metros With Greatest Increases in Affordability
Metro | April Affordability Score | YoY Affordability Score | May Median Listing Price | May Median Days on Market |
San Jose-Sunnyvale et al, Calif. | 0.5 | 0.11 | $1,167,444 | 28 |
Des Moines-West Des Moines, Iowa | 0.94 | 0.11 | $288,000 | 59 |
San Francisco-Oakland et al, Calif. | 0.54 | 0.09 | $954,500 | 28 |
Lakeland-Winter Haven, Fla. | 0.82 | 0.08 | $231,500 | 64 |
Atlanta-Sandy Springs et al, Ga. | 0.8 | 0.07 | $335,000 | 47 |
Portland-Vancouver et al, Ore.-Wash. | 0.59 | 0.07 | $474,975 | 34 |
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, Fla. | 0.69 | 0.07 | $299,900 | 91 |
Austin-Round Rock, Texas | 0.7 | 0.07 | $369,995 | 46 |
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Texas | 0.68 | 0.06 | $350,000 | 43 |
Charlotte-Concord et al, N.C.-S.C. | 0.75 | 0.06 | $329,450 | 49 |
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, Conn. | 0.56 | 0.06 | $754,500 | 60 |
Raleigh, N.C. | 0.87 | 0.06 | $349,950 | 45 |
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, Fla. | 0.69 | 0.06 | $315,000 | 57 |
Madison, Wis. | 0.86 | 0.06 | $339,500 | 40 |
Jackson, Miss. | 0.86 | 0.06 | $259,000 | 71 |
Tampa-St. Petersburg et al, Fla. | 0.77 | 0.05 | $279,950 | 58 |
Palm Bay-Melbourne et al, Fla. | 0.79 | 0.05 | $270,018 | 61 |
Jacksonville, Fla. | 0.74 | 0.05 | $315,000 | 60 |
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, Ind. | 0.91 | 0.05 | $279,900 | 45 |
Grand Rapids-Wyoming, Mich. | 0.8 | 0.05 | $289,900 | 31 |
Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, Colo. | 0.68 | 0.05 | $511,950 | 29 |
Colorado Springs, Colo. | 0.62 | 0.05 | $379,900 | 30 |
Augusta-Richmond County, Ga.-S.C. | 0.9 | 0.05 | $223,225 | 60 |
Salt Lake City, Utah | 0.7 | 0.05 | $436,250 | 31 |
Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, Ariz. | 0.7 | 0.05 | $350,000 | 46 |
Nashville-Davidson et al, Tenn. | 0.72 | 0.05 | $355,495 | 37 |
Washington et al, D.C.-Va.-Md.-W.V. | 0.87 | 0.04 | $462,250 | 34 |
Stockton-Lodi, Calif. | 0.62 | 0.04 | $425,475 | 35 |
St. Louis, Mo.-Ill. | 1.08 | 0.04 | $229,188 | 52 |
Riverside et al, Calif. | 0.62 | 0.04 | $410,450 | 50 |
New Haven-Milford, Conn. | 0.9 | 0.04 | $279,900 | 50 |
Minneapolis et al, Minn.-Wis. | 0.81 | 0.04 | $360,000 | 34 |
Miami-Fort Lauderdale et al, Fla. | 0.62 | 0.04 | $399,000 | 88 |
Deltona-Daytona Beach et al, Fla. | 0.62 | 0.04 | $294,500 | 73 |
Allentown-Bethlehem et al, Pa.-N.J. | 1 | 0.04 | $222,450 | 54 |
Los Angeles-Long Beach et al, Calif. | 0.37 | 0.04 | $769,500 | 42 |
Springfield, Mass. | 0.83 | 0.04 | $279,000 | 37 |
Greenville-Anderson-Mauldin, S.C. | 0.84 | 0.04 | $269,000 | 50 |
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, Mich. | 0.97 | 0.04 | $258,250 | 36 |
San Diego-Carlsbad, Calif. | 0.39 | 0.03 | $699,925 | 31 |
North Port-Sarasota et al, Fla. | 0.66 | 0.03 | $359,900 | 86 |
Harrisburg-Carlisle, Pa. | 1.07 | 0.03 | $219,900 | 45 |
Boise City, Idaho | 0.64 | 0.03 | $369,900 | 30 |
Sacramento--Roseville et al, Calif. | 0.57 | 0.03 | $493,725 | 35 |
Portland-South Portland, Maine | 0.7 | 0.03 | $379,450 | 47 |
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, Md. | 0.96 | 0.03 | $334,500 | 43 |
Tucson, Ariz. | 0.67 | 0.02 | $298,250 | 52 |
San Antonio-New Braunfels, Texas | 0.68 | 0.02 | $295,000 | 49 |
New York-Newark et al, N.Y.-N.J.-Pa. | 0.54 | 0.02 | $564,500 | 52 |
Little Rock et al, Ark. | 1.03 | 0.02 | $194,900 | 53 |
Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, Nev. | 0.72 | 0.02 | $319,900 | 43 |
Knoxville, Tenn. | 0.77 | 0.02 | $289,900 | 56 |
Hartford-West Hartford et al, Conn. | 0.98 | 0.02 | $279,900 | 46 |
Fresno, Calif. | 0.66 | 0.02 | $322,500 | 42 |
Durham-Chapel Hill, N.C. | 0.68 | 0.02 | $361,250 | 43 |
Columbia, S.C. | 0.98 | 0.02 | $235,000 | 53 |
Chicago et al, Ill.-Ind.-Wis. | 0.86 | 0.02 | $311,386 | 42 |
Albuquerque, N.M. | 0.81 | 0.02 | $269,995 | 46 |
Spokane-Spokane Valley, Wash. | 0.69 | 0.02 | $329,995 | 31 |
Richmond, Va. | 0.83 | 0.02 | $332,053 | 46 |
Wichita, Kan. | 0.96 | 0.01 | $212,450 | 44 |
Virginia Beach et al, V.a-N.C. | 0.85 | 0.01 | $301,000 | 45 |
Urban Honolulu, Hawaii | 0.52 | 0.01 | $694,900 | 56 |
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, Wash. | 0.51 | 0.01 | $627,500 | 30 |
Providence-Warwick, R.I.-Mass. | 0.64 | 0.01 | $369,900 | 44 |
Pittsburgh, Pa. | 1.05 | 0.01 | $197,250 | 59 |
Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, Calif. | 0.43 | 0.01 | $689,475 | 40 |
Memphis, Tenn.-Miss.-Ark. | 1.01 | 0.01 | $223,500 | 44 |
Columbus, Ohio | 0.95 | 0.01 | $264,900 | 35 |
Cincinnati, Ohio-Ky.-Ind. | 0.89 | 0.01 | $289,900 | 43 |
Buffalo-Cheektowaga et al, N.Y. | 0.92 | 0.01 | $220,000 | 36 |
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, Mass.-N.H. | 0.62 | 0.01 | $594,250 | 30 |
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, N.Y. | 0.84 | 0.01 | $299,900 | 64 |
Charleston-North Charleston, S.C. | 0.69 | 0.01 | $427,450 | 67 |
Worcester, Mass.-Conn. | 0.85 | 0 | $349,000 | 36 |
Toledo, Ohio | 1.13 | 0 | $166,950 | 43 |
Omaha-Council Bluffs, Neb.-Iowa | 0.81 | 0 | $297,630 | 29 |
Milwaukee-Waukesha et al, Wis. | 0.86 | 0 | $279,900 | 36 |
Houston-The Woodlands et al, Texas | 0.7 | 0 | $324,945 | 51 |
Cleveland-Elyria, Ohio | 1.03 | 0 | $190,606 | 49 |
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, Texas | 0.68 | -0.01 | $196,000 | 83 |
Baton Rouge, La. | 0.93 | -0.01 | $249,900 | 70 |
Youngstown-Warren et al, Ohio-Pa. | 1.21 | -0.01 | $124,900 | 64 |
Dayton, Ohio | 1.15 | -0.01 | $157,745 | 38 |
Akron, Ohio | 1.11 | -0.02 | $174,900 | 40 |
Philadelphia et al, Pa.-N.J.-Del.-Md. | 0.92 | -0.02 | $288,950 | 46 |
Winston-Salem, N.C. | 0.85 | -0.02 | $245,000 | 45 |
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre et al, Pa. | 1.06 | -0.02 | $162,400 | 67 |
Oklahoma City, Okla. | 0.87 | -0.02 | $256,500 | 43 |
New Orleans-Metairie, La. | 0.74 | -0.02 | $292,500 | 60 |
Louisville et al, Ky.-Ind. | 0.91 | -0.02 | $277,450 | 43 |
Greensboro-High Point, N.C. | 0.85 | -0.02 | $245,900 | 45 |
Chattanooga, Tenn.-Ga. | 0.77 | -0.03 | $289,700 | 51 |
Birmingham-Hoover, Ala. | 0.96 | -0.03 | $249,000 | 50 |
Rochester, N.Y. | 0.93 | -0.04 | $222,450 | 31 |
Bakersfield, Calif. | 0.79 | -0.04 | $260,000 | 43 |
Syracuse, N.Y. | 1.04 | -0.04 | $184,950 | 51 |
Kansas City, Mo.-Kan. | 0.88 | -0.04 | $302,500 | 40 |
Tulsa, Okla. | 0.89 | -0.07 | $239,500 | 50 |
El Paso, Texas | 0.79 | -0.09 | $191,475 | 68 |